As you’ve probably noticed, most of my blog titles are facetious. This one is no exception. According to various articles I’ve read today, investors are selling gold due to expectations that the Federal Reserve will drop rates and then leave them be in hopes that a 2% interest will curb inflation. One of them states the following:
Analysts blame the slide on profit-taking after the run-up, weak demand for jewelry and a sense among investors that the worst of the credit crisis may have passed, which would diminish gold’s allure as a safe-haven metal.
Wow! Where to start?!
Number one, weak demand on jewelry is caused, at least in part, by consumers not having money. Why don’t they have any money? Hmm… could it be that we are in a recession? No, our government denies that. That can’t be true. Could it be that Americans will have lost over 6 trillion dollars on the value of their homes by the end of this year with no end in sight to dropping values? To keep that in perspective, that’s about as much money as the entire economy of China, the second biggest economy in the world, makes in a year that just went down the drain. In other words, imagine all the wealth that a billion people created just disappeared! The worst part about losing 6 trillion dollars is that we are also losing our ability as a nation to earn it back! Our economy has been driven by spending not wealth creation. And how are we getting this money to spend? We borrow! From whom? Not from other Americans… from foreigners. What is the non-elected, non-government agency – the Federal Reserve – doing to prevent this? They encourage more borrowing by cutting interest rates! Oh, I almost forgot… our government does have an answer to the problem. Spend more money!!! “Free” healthcare anyone?
Number two, there is “a sense among investors that the worst of the credit crisis may have passed“? Are you kidding me?! The entire reason that these articles are being written is because the Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates. Why? Because of the credit crisis! Oh, but apparently they aren’t going to continue to lower them for some time to come. Well, if the entity that got us into this mess thinks that it’s current policies will get us out we better believe them. How can a we revive our economy if we don’t have the money to spend anymore? I have an idea! If they encourage us to borrow more by lowering interest rates, maybe that will solve the problem!
Let me conclude by saying that you should always follow investor sentiment. After all, investors were right about the technology stocks in the late 1990’s and the they were also right about the housing prices in early 2006. I sure wish I would’ve bought a home in June 2006. So sell your gold and silver. After the coming brief drop in short term gold and silver prices I’m buying more along with some more ammo and food storage. The zombies are coming.